Saturday, July 31, 2010
Ruto and Okemo: Walikiona Busia
Busia town turned tables on the two gentlemen in red. Okemo could not believe that he could not hold a rally in his constituency.
Jokers should remain in Nairobi. The crowd resolved.
Cheers!
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Kenya is gwtting a new constitution that will usher in a new dawn of optimism. Kenyans will have more power to control their elected reps and investors will flock to our shores. Kenya is headed for good times. Those that benefited under the Moi or other dictatorships will continue to complain of course because they are now losing ground. My very dear friend, David Ochwangi, seems to be very very upset about the good things happening in Kenya. Time and tide will pass him and his lot by as Kenyan charts its course and takes its place in the councils of civilized nations. Kenya has come of age and has shaken off the chains of oppression. Kenya is moving forward even if a step at a time. The David Ochwangis and John Kamaus shall be left behind.
Warts and all, the answer is YES.
Courage,
Maurice
Sent from my BlackBerry device on the Rogers Wireless Network
From: David ochwangi <dochwangi@yahoo.com>
To: mlalahoi@googlegroups.com; otieno sungu <sunoti@yahoo.com>
Cc: modhiambos@yahoo.com
Sent: Fri, July 30, 2010 7:49:38 PM
Subject: Re: Margaret Looses Starehe Seat
Wacha zako wewe Sungu, Haiya! I have been around man and vigorously on the "NO" side, I guess I am guilty for not conforming with the "Mood" as you guys put it, you are the same bunch who voted "NO" in 2005 against the same document because your "mood" and more importantly that of the chief architect was "NO" and now 5 years later the "mood" is yes, I mean I have seen pendulums swing slower than this, what do you all stand for Sungu? MOODS? This thing is wrong in more ways than I care to count least of which is the desperation of this government to win so much so that they are openly breaking the law by coopting the entire civil service to campaign for this document, this alone by the principles is enough to void any win by the YES group, so much for "reforms" and "impunity" Sungu! Do you honestly believe that reforms are brought about as a result of law breaking my friend? That is what Kibaki and Odinga are busy doing, you justify that and get back to me... --- On Fri, 7/30/10, otieno sungu <sunoti@yahoo.com> wrote:
|
Re: SAVE US FROM THESE ROGUE POLICE OFFICERS.
If anyone witnessed this, I would expect them to make a statement to the police or write a letter to their MP.
Maurice
Sent from my BlackBerry device on the Rogers Wireless Network
Dear Sir/Madam, On July 30, 2010, Nairobi, a young man walked out of a commercial bank and was accosted by a group of snorting police officers whose keen sense of smell convinced them "beyond any reasonable doubt" that the said young man was from a robbery mission. They pounced on him and attempted to empty his pockets of the cash he had just withdrawn from the bank. Were it not for the timely intervention of the public the young man would probably have become part of the ever increasing statistics of police brutality and robbery with violence. If it interests you, you will also have noted that even with the publicity that this incident attracted there was no suggestion of any kind of appeal to justice and no suggestion of any recompense for the grave and gratuitous damage which this young man endured. The young man`s tone was simply the tone of one who had miraculously survived from the jaws of death. Who knows, he could have died under a hail of bullets and a toy pistol planted on him-a most wanted criminal indeed! But if the above incident leaves you distraught, you are probably lily-livered. Two weeks earlier in Kangemi, Nairobi, a 76 year old man happened to be in the streets where there was a great commotion. Many people, including frightened old women, little girls and boys were running from the police. Then the old man noticed three energetic male police officers (in frenzy) bludgeon up a defenseless woman like one would a viper. He spoke up and asked them, "Why are you beating her like that?" Startled by his unwarranted interference, one of them let his adept fingers pull the trigger and the old man fell down looking at the police officers, disbelief written allover his face. None of them appeared disconcerted at the old man`s twitching body nor the wailing of his anguished daughter. In fact, according to witnesses, these policemen engaged in some levity over the incident. The old man succumbed to the fatal bullet wound a few minutes later. He became yet another statistic of police brutality. One cannot possibly arrive at a more sure-fire formula for cruelty. Yet, it would appear that this arrogant autonomy is guaranteed to some police officers by their superiors. Otherwise, why would they, ad infinitum, dare carry out acts which are pure anarchy? Whenever the top police brass is hard pressed for action against rogue officers, they bellow out the same stale lie of yesteryears "investigations will be carried out and officers found culpable will be disciplined." The worst part is that the same police officers investigate themselves, quite as though they were answerable only to themselves. But they cannot be allowed to be answerable only to themselves. They must be made to be answerable to the common man and woman. After all, this is the tax payer who remunerates them, and who they are legally sworn to protect. However, if in their estimation, the common man and woman is not a part of the "Kenyans" that they are supposed to protect, then allow me to say without fear of contradiction that all of the Kenyan police force is but a big fraud. TOME FRANCIS, BUMULA. |
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Re: SAVE US FROM THESE ROGUE POLICE OFFICERS.
Dear Sir/Madam,
On July 30, 2010, Nairobi, a young man walked out of a commercial bank and was accosted by a group of snorting police officers whose keen sense of smell convinced them "beyond any reasonable doubt" that the said young man was from a robbery mission. They pounced on him and attempted to empty his pockets of the cash he had just withdrawn from the bank. Were it not for the timely intervention of the public the young man would probably have become part of the ever increasing statistics of police brutality and robbery with violence.
If it interests you, you will also have noted that even with the publicity that this incident attracted there was no suggestion of any kind of appeal to justice and no suggestion of any recompense for the grave and gratuitous damage which this young man endured. The young man`s tone was simply the tone of one who had miraculously survived from the jaws of death. Who knows, he could have died under a hail of bullets and a toy pistol planted on him-a most wanted criminal indeed!
But if the above incident leaves you distraught, you are probably lily-livered. Two weeks earlier in Kangemi, Nairobi, a 76 year old man happened to be in the streets where there was a great commotion. Many people, including frightened old women, little girls and boys were running from the police. Then the old man noticed three energetic male police officers (in frenzy) bludgeon up a defenseless woman like one would a viper. He spoke up and asked them, "Why are you beating her like that?" Startled by his unwarranted interference, one of them let his adept fingers pull the trigger and the old man fell down looking at the police officers, disbelief written allover his face. None of them appeared disconcerted at the old man`s twitching body nor the wailing of his anguished daughter. In fact, according to witnesses, these policemen engaged in some levity over the incident. The old man succumbed to the fatal bullet wound a few minutes later. He became yet another statistic of police brutality. One cannot possibly arrive at a more sure-fire formula for cruelty.
Yet, it would appear that this arrogant autonomy is guaranteed to some police officers by their superiors. Otherwise, why would they, ad infinitum, dare carry out acts which are pure anarchy? Whenever the top police brass is hard pressed for action against rogue officers, they bellow out the same stale lie of yesteryears "investigations will be carried out and officers found culpable will be disciplined."
The worst part is that the same police officers investigate themselves, quite as though they were answerable only to themselves. But they cannot be allowed to be answerable only to themselves. They must be made to be answerable to the common man and woman. After all, this is the tax payer who remunerates them, and who they are legally sworn to protect. However, if in their estimation, the common man and woman is not a part of the "Kenyans" that they are supposed to protect, then allow me to say without fear of contradiction that all of the Kenyan police force is but a big fraud.
TOME FRANCIS,
BUMULA.
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Re: Margaret Looses Starehe Seat
If teaching grammar, do it privately. It's in poor taste to embarrass one in public.
Courage
Sent from my BlackBerry device on the Rogers Wireless Network
The Bishop is no longer MP.
But did she lose or "loose"?
Sometimes we lose it when we are loose with the lingo.
Onyango Oloo
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Re: [africa-oped] Re: [NewVisionKenya] How to Steal an Election
There is no point with these people. We have a saying about "beating" water in a mortar. Waste of time. The polls were conducted by different groups and they all say the same thing. If the margins between them were too wide, we can get worried or where one talks about 20 points difference between the winner and the loser and another puts the loser at that wide difference as the winner.
What Omtatah and Kombo are doing is not only porojo of the worst level but are psychologically preparing themselves for the defeat. Give them till August 5th and you will see them back here with the nonsense of rigging. There is nobody in his or her right mind who expect the NO side to win. Everybody knows that save for Ruto's backyard, there is no other place where the NO side will defeat the YES side, may be Machogeland but these two is what Omtatah and Kombo expect to turn the tables.
The margin of winning side will be wider than the polls mentions and this will be because the votes from the independents will either not count or they will swing towards the winning side.
Tell them to prepare for shock come August 5th when the results gets out. My plea with them is that they need to book a room at the trauma center at Kenyatta Hospital because the shock will be unmanageable if they still expect the NO side to win.
Tell them to get prescriptions for anti-anxiety medication and to get ready to be treated for Post Traumatic Stress Disorder (PTSD) come August 5th:)
Kuria
Opinion polls legitimize the doubts of people. Kenyan opinion polls a re always skewed to favour the rulers. There will be no direct democracy in this referendum as the result is expected to lean towards the sponored and paid polls.A rigged process, yes rigged: PSs and senior civil servants out there for 15 days to campaign, State Ministers, President and PM using states resources to campaign, donors sponsoring NGOs and paying voters to vote for the Katiba, Opinion pollsters paid lumpsums to skew the results, Musicians paid huge sums of money to criss-cross the country in favour for the Katiba etc etc.Kombo Elijah
From: otieno sungu <sunoti@yahoo.com>
To: NewVisionKenya@yahoogroups.com; NVK-Mageuzi@yahoogroups.com; PEOPLE FOR PEACE IN AFRICA <ppa@africaonline.co.ke>; Public Eye Group News <PubliceyeT@aol.com>; kenya-alternatives@googlegroups.com; africa- oped <africa-oped@yahoogroups.com>; mlalahoi@googlegroups.com; ProgressiveMinds <ProgressiveMinds@yahoogroups.com>; Young professionals-ke <youngprofessionals_ke@googlegroups.com>; Wanabidii Googlegroups <wanabidii@googlegroups.com>; Miziziyahaki Pwani <miziziyahakipwani@yahoo.com>
Sent: Sat, July 31, 2010 8:06:53 PM
Subject: Re: [NewVisionKenya] How to Steal an Election
Okiya hata hii bado ni porojo, opinion polls have been here with us always,they are worldwide and even you cooked some and came along with which you could not even defend when challenged.Just let us wait for August 4th which is 5 days away, stop beginning to justify the loss and the fact that you might have been part of a Think Tank that duped NO with those voodoo confidential referendum data which anyone with a shred of statistics will dismiss outright from the use of irrelevant data to "project" a totally unrelated matter.Otieno Sungu
From: Okiya Omtatah Okoiti <omtatah@yahoo. com>
To: NVK-Mageuzi@ yahoogroups. com; New Vision List <newvisionkenya@ yahoogroups. com>; PEOPLE FOR PEACE IN AFRICA <ppa@africaonline. co.ke>; Public Eye Group News <PubliceyeT@aol. com>; kenya-alternatives@ googlegroups. com; africa- oped <africa-oped@ yahoogroups. com>; mlalahoi@googlegrou ps.com; ProgressiveMinds <ProgressiveMinds@ yahoogroups. com>; Young professionals- ke <youngprofessionals_ ke@googlegroups. com>; Wanabidii Googlegroups <wanabidii@googlegro ups.com>; Miziziyahaki Pwani <miziziyahakipwani@ yahoo.com>
Sent: Sat, July 31, 2010 8:00:34 PM
Subject: [NewVisionKenya] How to Steal an Election
The Opinion Makers: An Insider Exposes the Truth Behind the Polls [Hardcover]
David W. Moore (Author)Editorial Reviews
From Publishers Weekly
In this succinct and damning critique of the pitfalls of public opinion reporting, Moore (How to Steal an Election), former senior editor of the Gallup Poll, argues that today's polls report the whims rather than the will of the people due to an intrinsic methodological problem: poll results don't differentiate between those who express deeply held views and those who have hardly, if at all, thought about an issue. Thus, respondents are compelled to provide an ill-considered, top-of-mind response because the method does not offer the option of expressing no opinion. In Moore's view, forced-choice polls not only distort public opinion, they create a legitimacy spin cycle, which damages U.S. democracy by manufacturing a public consensus to serve those in power. Keen and witty throughout, his prose turns bitter as he condemns journalists, insisting they are fully aware of the polling flaws but turn a blind eye because they like sharply divided groups and extreme reactions. However correct his claim and justified his outrage, his proposed antidote—that the media ought to enlighten its audience to its own ignorance—feels more like a pipe dream than a practical prescription. (Sept.)
Copyright © Reed Business Information, a division of Reed Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.Review
"You will never regard political polls the same after reading David W. Moore's devastating inside account of their severe limitations and misapplications. This book should be required reading for journalists, political junkies, students, scholars, and citizens."
—Robert W. McChesney, author of The Political Economy of Media"In this succinct and damning critique of the pitfalls of public opinion reporting, Moore, former senior editor of the Gallup Poll, argues that today's polls report the whims rather than the will of the people. … Keen and witty throughout."
—Publishers Weekly
"The Opinion Makers is the most important book about the making of polls and public opinion that I have read. The account of how news stories drive polls should make us stop and ask whether the close relationship between the newsroom and polling operations is perhaps a bit too close. A must read."
—W. Lance Bennett, director, Center for Communication and Civic Engagement, University of Washington, Seattle"A powerful argument that polls do not merely misinform us but pose a genuine, if subtle, threat to our democracy."
—Mark Crispin Miller
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Re: Aspirin on women – AMAZING…
Thanks for this ?informative article. Why was this study done on nurses? Dont you think it was biased study. I would have agreed with them if they did this study on couples(woman) so that the husband would tell us the difference he noticed with his wife. Secondly the study showed that only the nurses who worked in ICU found cardiac patient attractive, but we are not told if these patients were males or females. Does it mean every time a person sees another person attractive means she/he is horny? Why did they do a study on people who already had knowledge of the drug? Whatever the case. Please dont attempt it. The main action of asprin is stopping the production of chemicals which are concerned with inflammation. As a result of this action there are benefits and disadvantages. The worst being KIDNEY FAILURE from misuse of this group of drugs in which asprin is included. So ladies you choose one. Either to enjoy sex or kidney failure and other complications. These drugs are best taken when prescribed by the docto.
Rose
+254722672157
From: Sammy Oyuuh <oyuuhs@gmail.com>
To: mlalahoi@googlegroups.com
Sent: Fri, July 30, 2010 11:22:08 AM
Subject: Aspirin on women – AMAZING…
The study of more than 4,000 nurses showed that those who took aspirin - usually to prevent heart disease reported an increase in their libido by more than 50%.
Click the link below
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Re: Poll: 66 per cent of Kenyans will vote in favour
On another note, those with spoiled votes or abstention will not count. It will be only be 67% to 33% since the percentage will be on those validly cast votes. So if the NO is stuck on 17%, we will hit 83%.
Mwangi,By the way the greens will get 67%,Reds 17% ,16% spoilt/abstrain
My self claimed pollster had projected.Will Omtatahs see the light of the day.PeterOn Fri, Jul 30, 2010 at 2:35 PM, Kuria-Mwangi <kjmwangi@gmail.com> wrote:
Omtatah,We still want to know where you got those figures. This is the latest scientific (as oposed to vodoo poll you forwarded) poll to be released andwas conducted last week. With 66% for YES and 20% for the NO, there is no way NO can win unless the church, Moi and Rutoare busy working with witchdoctors and the devil to turn tables. God is great all the times and so I believe the vodoo work willcome to zero. We are expecting to get at least 65% but even 51% is good enough for us since that will see the new Katiba comeinto effect Moi na nyinyi mpende msipende.
The Strategic Research survey shows that 66 per cent of Kenyans will vote in favour of the document while 20 per cent will reject it.KuriaBwana Omtatah,
If the figures are confidential, why do you have them? The person who cooked them did a shoddy job. You can see RV figures are cooked
to make sound as if Ruto has 80% of the support. You or whoever cooked them forgot that Eldoret North does not constituite 80% of RV votes. Soother areas outside Rutoland are red? When did NO side get average of 40-80% in various areas?If your side get that close, even if YES wins, then those Opinion Pollsters will close shop. For now I can only wish you good dreams.On Thu, Jul 29, 2010 at 5:05 AM, Okiya Omtatah Okoiti <omtatah@yahoo.com> wrote:...
2005 Referendum
2007 Presidential Elections
2010 Referendum Projections based on Voter Patterns
Province
Registered Voters
Turnout %
Registered Voters
Turnout %
Registered Voters
Assuming 60% Turnout
YES:NO RATIO
YES
NO
NAIROBI
961,295
38.80%
1,275,021
51.50%
1,306,345
783,807
60:40
470,284
313,523
COAST
967,518
34.50%
1,045,629
57.00%
992,323
595,394
60:40
357,236
238,158
NORTH EASTERN
237,321
21.70%
315,664
61.30%
232,099
139,259
70:30
97,482
41,778
EASTERN
1,977,480
49.60%
2,516,998
65.90%
2,028,864
1,217,318
30:70
365,196
852,123
CENTRAL
1,795,277
61.10%
2,186,315
82.10%
1,952,537
1,171,522
60:40
702,913
468,609
RIFT VALLEY
2,668,981
60.50%
3,358,285
72.80%
3,074,736
1,844,842
20:80
368,968
1,475,873
WESTERN
1,322,604
45.30%
1,564,854
62.00%
1,357,802
814,681
70:30
570,277
244,404
NYANZA
1,664,401
56.30%
2,041,686
76.20%
1,711,745
1,027,047
80:20
821,638
205,409
TOTALS
11,594,877
52.40%
14,304,452
69.00%
12,656,451
7,593,871
49.4:50.6
3,753,994
3,839,877
Confidential and for Authorised Internal Use Only
Best for YES: 49.4% Worst for NO: 50.6%
HISTORICAL DATA USED:
2005 Referendum Results
Option
Number of votes
Percentage
There were 11,595,201 registered voters in 2005
Yes
2,578,831
41.88%
6,158,072 registered voters cast their votes
No
3,579,241
58.12%
5,437,129 voters did not vote in 2005.
Total
6,158,072
100.00%
This was equivalent to 53% voting and 47% not voting
Province
Yes Votes
Yes %
No Votes
No %
Registered Voters
Turnout
%
Central
1,023,219
93.20%
74,394
6.80%
1,795,277
1,097,613
61.10%
Coast
64,432
19.30%
269,655
80.70%
967,518
334,087
34.50%
Eastern
485,282
49.50%
494,624
50.50%
1,977,480
979,906
49.60%
Nairobi
161,344
43.20%
212,070
56.80%
961,295
373,414
38.80%
North Eastern
12,401
24.10%
39,028
75.90%
237,321
51,429
21.70%
Nyanza
114,077
12.20%
822,188
87.80%
1,664,401
936,265
56.30%
Rift Valley
395,943
24.50%
1,218,805
75.50%
2,668,981
1,614,748
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