Re: Confidential Referendum Projections

nonsense! omtatah, you have already been given a RED CARD! STF UP! In politics, if you want anything said, ask a man- if you want anything done ask a woman. --- On Fri, 7/30/10, subaru wrx <murimi88@yahoo.com> wrote: From: subaru wrx <murimi88@yahoo.com> Subject: Re: Confidential Referendum Projections To: mlalahoi@googlegroups.com Date: Friday, July 30, 2010, 7:37 AM In my entire life,Ive read crap before. This 1 beats them all --- On Thu, 7/29/10, Kuria-Mwangi <kjmwangi@gmail.com> wrote: From: Kuria-Mwangi <kjmwangi@gmail.com> Subject: Re: Confidential Referendum Projections To: mlalahoi@googlegroups.com Date: Thursday, July 29, 2010, 3:34 PM Bwana Omtatah, If the figures are confidential, why do you have them? The person who cooked them did a shoddy job. You can see RV figures are cooked to make sound as if Ruto has 80% of the support. You or whoever cooked them forgot that Eldoret North does not constituite 80% of RV votes. So other areas outside Rutoland are red? When did NO side get average of 40-80% in various areas?   If your side get that close, even if YES wins, then those Opinion Pollsters will close shop. For now I can only wish you good dreams. On Thu, Jul 29, 2010 at 5:05 AM, Okiya Omtatah Okoiti <omtatah@yahoo.com> wrote: 2005 Referendum 2007 Presidential Elections 2010 Referendum Projections based on Voter Patterns   Province Registered Voters Turnout % Registered Voters Turnout % Registered Voters Assuming 60% Turnout YES:NO RATIO YES NO   NAIROBI 961,295 38.80% 1,275,021 51.50% 1,306,345      783,807 60:40 470,284 313,523   COAST 967,518 34.50% 1,045,629 57.00% 992,323      595,394 60:40 357,236 238,158 NORTH EASTERN 237,321 21.70% 315,664 61.30% 232,099      139,259 70:30 97,482 41,778 EASTERN 1,977,480 49.60% 2,516,998 65.90% 2,028,864   1,217,318 30:70 365,196 852,123 CENTRAL 1,795,277 61.10% 2,186,315 82.10% 1,952,537   1,171,522 60:40 702,913 468,609 RIFT VALLEY 2,668,981 60.50% 3,358,285 72.80% 3,074,736   1,844,842 20:80 368,968 1,475,873 WESTERN 1,322,604 45.30% 1,564,854 62.00% 1,357,802      814,681 70:30 570,277 244,404 NYANZA 1,664,401 56.30% 2,041,686 76.20% 1,711,745   1,027,047 80:20 821,638 205,409 TOTALS 11,594,877 52.40% 14,304,452 69.00% 12,656,451 7,593,871  49.4:50.6 3,753,994 3,839,877 Confidential and for Authorised Internal Use Only Best for YES: 49.4%     Worst for NO: 50.6% HISTORICAL DATA USED: 2005 Referendum Results Option Number of votes Percentage There were 11,595,201 registered voters in 2005 Yes 2,578,831 41.88% 6,158,072 registered voters cast their votes No 3,579,241 58.12% 5,437,129 voters did not vote in 2005. Total 6,158,072 100.00% This was equivalent to 53% voting and 47% not voting Province Yes Votes Yes % No Votes No % Registered Voters Turnout % Central 1,023,219 93.20% 74,394 6.80% 1,795,277 1,097,613 61.10% Coast 64,432 19.30% 269,655 80.70% 967,518 334,087 34.50% Eastern 485,282 49.50% 494,624 50.50% 1,977,480 979,906 49.60% Nairobi 161,344 43.20% 212,070 56.80% 961,295 373,414 38.80% North Eastern 12,401 24.10% 39,028 75.90% 237,321 51,429 21.70% Nyanza 114,077 12.20% 822,188 87.80% 1,664,401 936,265 56.30% Rift Valley 395,943 24.50% 1,218,805 75.50% 2,668,981 1,614,748 60.50% Western 240,582 40.20% 358,343 59.80% 1,322,604 598,925 45.30% Total 2,532,918 41.70% 3,548,477 58.30% 11,594,877 6,081,395 52.40% Source: Electoral Commission of Kenya   Provincial Results of 2007 Presidential Elections Province Kibaki % Odinga % Kalonzo % Others % Votes Cast Registered Voters NAIROBI 313,478 47.70% 288,922 44.00% 52,974 8.10% 1,845 0.30% 657,219 1,275,021 COAST 197,354 33.10% 353,773 59.40% 38,881 6.50% 5,909 1.00% 595,917 1,045,629 NORTH  EASTERN 97,263 50.30% 91,440 47.20% 4,498 2.30% 333 0.20% 193,534 315,664 EASTERN 835,481 50.40% 83,575 5.00% 726,782 43.80% 13,229 0.80% 1,659,067 2,516,998 CENTRAL 1,741,086 97.00% 34,046 1.90% 11,702 0.70% 7,215 0.40% 1,794,049 2,186,315 RIFT VALLEY 818,445 33.50% 1,580,880 64.60% 33,863 1.40% 12,300 0.50% 2,445,488 3,358,285 WESTERN 312,300 32.20% 639,246 65.90% 6,729 0.70% 11,417 1.20% 969,692 1,564,854 NYANZA 262,627 16.90% 1,280,978 82.40% 4,470 0.30% 7,160 0.50% 1,555,235 2,041,686 TOTALS 4,578,034 46.40% 4,352,860 44.10% 879,899 8.90% 59,408 0.60% 9,870,201 14,304,452 Source: Electoral Commission of Kenya   -- MANY JOB VACANCIES: http://bit.ly/bROydQ   TECHMTAA BLOG: http://bit.ly/cmRFZR   To unsubscribe from this group, Email mlalahoi+unsubscribe@googlegroups.com   TO ADVERTISE HERE PLEASE M-PESA KSH 1,000 for each advert or Ksh 5,000 for monthly subscription to +254 726 034 530 -- http://www.kuria-mwangi.blogspot.com http://www.facebook.com/kjmwangi -- MANY JOB VACANCIES: http://bit.ly/bROydQ   TECHMTAA BLOG: http://bit.ly/cmRFZR   To unsubscribe from this group, Email mlalahoi+unsubscribe@googlegroups.com   TO ADVERTISE HERE PLEASE M-PESA KSH 1,000 for each advert or Ksh 5,000 for monthly subscription to +254 726 034 530 -- MANY JOB VACANCIES: http://bit.ly/bROydQ   TECHMTAA BLOG: http://bit.ly/cmRFZR   To unsubscribe from this group, Email mlalahoi+unsubscribe@googlegroups.com   TO ADVERTISE HERE PLEASE M-PESA KSH 1,000 for each advert or Ksh 5,000 for monthly subscription to +254 726 034 530

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