Re: Confidential Referendum Projections

Good pipo,
Its too unfortunate. We thought Okiya was a reformist, but when Kenyans have reached the climax of writing their history, Okiya runs for the chains and ties himself with the diehard MOIsts and KANUists, people whose only claim to fame is corruption, theft and cospiracy against any reforms in Kenya!!

Kenyans, Aug 4th is our moment to drive the last nail into the MOIsm's coffin.
Tuwahurumie.

On Fri, Jul 30, 2010 at 3:52 PM, peter kilonzo <mwikya2009@gmail.com> wrote:

Ndugu Okiya,

You sound like a propaganda activist here.

Moi and sons,Ruto & Company,etc cant get afford the figures you are propagating!

Just four days to the D Dei and on Wednesday nite you get the shock of your times.We are abit wise now, we also went to school and we can read your motive here.Did you say these projections are confidential?So you are part of the confidence?

 

Stop this Omtatah

 

Peter M.Kilonzo

On Fri, Jul 30, 2010 at 11:05 AM, Mr BENJI <me_benji@yahoo.com> wrote:

You forgot to mention that in 2005 the two bulls in Kenyas politics, Kibaki and Raila were working in opposite directions. And are you using data from the rotten and defunct ECK.
We expect a big win on Wednesday.
YES!

--- On Thu, 7/29/10, Brian Kipkorir <onyibon@gmail.com> wrote:

> From: Brian Kipkorir <onyibon@gmail.com>

> Subject: Re: Confidential Referendum Projections

> To: mlalahoi@googlegroups.com, "Okiya Omtatah" <omtatah@yahoo.com>
> Date: Thursday, July 29, 2010, 2:53 PM

> Okiya i think you are very idle. Bure
> kabisa.
>
> On 7/29/10, Okiya Omtatah Okoiti <omtatah@yahoo.com>
> wrote:
> >
> >
> >
> >
> >   2005 Referendum 2007 Presidential
> Elections 2010 Referendum Projections
> > based
> > on Voter Patterns
> >
> > Province Registered   Voters
> Turnout   % Registered Voters Turnout %
> > Registered
> > Voters Assuming 60% Turnout YES:NO RATIO YES NO
> >
> > NAIROBI 961,295 38.80% 1,275,021 51.50%
> 1,306,345      783,807  60:40
> > 470,284
> > 313,523
> >
> > COAST 967,518 34.50% 1,045,629 57.00% 992,323 
>     595,394  60:40 357,236
> > 238,158
> >
> > NORTH EASTERN 237,321 21.70% 315,664 61.30%
> 232,099      139,259  70:30
> > 97,482
> > 41,778
> >
> > EASTERN 1,977,480 49.60% 2,516,998 65.90%
> 2,028,864   1,217,318  30:70
> > 365,196
> > 852,123
> >
> > CENTRAL 1,795,277 61.10% 2,186,315 82.10%
> 1,952,537   1,171,522  60:40
> > 702,913
> > 468,609
> >
> > RIFT VALLEY 2,668,981 60.50% 3,358,285 72.80%
> 3,074,736   1,844,842  20:80
> > 368,968 1,475,873
> >
> > WESTERN 1,322,604 45.30% 1,564,854 62.00%
> 1,357,802      814,681  70:30
> > 570,277
> > 244,404
> >
> > NYANZA 1,664,401 56.30% 2,041,686 76.20%
> 1,711,745   1,027,047  80:20
> > 821,638
> > 205,409
> >
> > TOTALS 11,594,877 52.40% 14,304,452 69.00% 12,656,451
> 7,593,871  49.4:50.6
> > 3,753,994 3,839,877
> >
> > Confidential and for Authorised Internal
> Use   Only
> > Best for YES: 49.4%     Worst for
> NO: 50.6%
> > HISTORICAL DATA USED:
> > 2005 Referendum Results
> > Option Number of votes Percentage  There were
> 11,595,201   registered voters
> > in
> > 2005
> >
> > Yes 2,578,831 41.88%  6,158,072
> registered   voters cast their votes
> > No 3,579,241 58.12%  5,437,129 voters did
> not   vote in 2005.
> > Total 6,158,072 100.00%  This was equivalent
> to   53% voting and 47% not
> > voting
> >
> > Province Yes Votes Yes % No Votes No % Registered
> Voters Turnout %
> > Central 1,023,219 93.20% 74,394 6.80% 1,795,277
> 1,097,613 61.10%
> > Coast 64,432 19.30% 269,655 80.70% 967,518 334,087
> 34.50%
> > Eastern 485,282 49.50% 494,624 50.50% 1,977,480
> 979,906 49.60%
> > Nairobi 161,344 43.20% 212,070 56.80% 961,295 373,414
> 38.80%
> > North Eastern 12,401 24.10% 39,028 75.90% 237,321
> 51,429 21.70%
> > Nyanza 114,077 12.20% 822,188 87.80% 1,664,401 936,265
> 56.30%
> > Rift Valley 395,943 24.50% 1,218,805 75.50% 2,668,981
> 1,614,748 60.50%
> > Western 240,582 40.20% 358,343 59.80% 1,322,604
> 598,925 45.30%
> > Total 2,532,918 41.70% 3,548,477 58.30% 11,594,877
> 6,081,395 52.40%
> > Source: Electoral Commission of Kenya
> >
> >
> >
> >  Provincial Results of   2007
> Presidential Elections
> > Province Kibaki % Odinga % Kalonzo % Others % Votes
> Cast Registered Voters
> > NAIROBI 313,478 47.70% 288,922 44.00% 52,974 8.10%
> 1,845 0.30% 657,219
> > 1,275,021
> >
> > COAST 197,354 33.10% 353,773 59.40% 38,881 6.50% 5,909
> 1.00% 595,917
> > 1,045,629
> > NORTH  EASTERN 97,263 50.30% 91,440 47.20% 4,498
> 2.30% 333 0.20% 193,534
> > 315,664
> >
> > EASTERN 835,481 50.40% 83,575 5.00% 726,782 43.80%
> 13,229 0.80% 1,659,067
> > 2,516,998
> >
> > CENTRAL 1,741,086 97.00% 34,046 1.90% 11,702 0.70%
> 7,215 0.40% 1,794,049
> > 2,186,315
> >
> > RIFT VALLEY 818,445 33.50% 1,580,880 64.60% 33,863
> 1.40% 12,300 0.50%
> > 2,445,488
> > 3,358,285
> >
> > WESTERN 312,300 32.20% 639,246 65.90% 6,729 0.70%
> 11,417 1.20% 969,692
> > 1,564,854
> >
> > NYANZA 262,627 16.90% 1,280,978 82.40% 4,470 0.30%
> 7,160 0.50% 1,555,235
> > 2,041,686
> >
> > TOTALS 4,578,034 46.40% 4,352,860 44.10% 879,899 8.90%
> 59,408 0.60%
> > 9,870,201
> > 14,304,452
> >
> > Source: Electoral Commission of Kenya
> >
> >
> >
> >
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